Nek Chang 談賽馬計足球: February 2017

2017-02-28

2017-03-01 頭場冷熱選 R1 Picks with Reasonable & Surprising Odds

冷選幸運神駒轉倉初出操練非常積極蘇狄雄一手摸住試過三個大閘走勢唔差李易達省招牌之作賠率不初可冷吼

熱選好性格前仗初跑泥地1800m已顯示場地路程無問題隔紗後番回此程狀態有進無退預計臨場會進一步落飛到5倍依然是穩健o既選

Photo Credit: HKJC

2017-02-26

賽日後記之我錫晒梁家俊 I Love Derek Leung

賽日後記之我錫晒梁家俊

第一場龍城猛將泡湯後預料今日將會捱打跟住第二場跑完見倒直路中外檔果d衝得幾好 (齊齊健康幸運坊魔幻神駿精益旅程) 熱門實力馬o係裡面反而麻麻地 (皇帝誥令) 咁我就覺得場地係有偏差 (結果在壓地之前確實如此)

咁咪諗住整番口孖寶玩下o羅頭關預計步步友會o係裡面衝咁我梗係買當銳而會o係外面衝o既喜蓮獎星啦

次關先飛走兩隻內檔熱門馬全勝姿態精算追擊收窄範圍至預計會係外面衝o既實力馬由心出發甜統滿載而來勝利之星 (正如我之前果 post 係提供呢四隻) 咁射落邊隻好d呢咁我見梁家俊咁旺同埋口孖寶有輕微升水咁一於尾關買勝利之星

梁家俊發揮得非常精彩頭二百米果斷決定收一收慢涉入二疊跟住好準確跑轉彎時見明目張膽 o係佢外面走過咁走跟住佢有遮擋咁o係三疊上直路上從中外疊衝 (正合我意!) 最後250m 我見隻馬有已知奠定勝局我錫晒梁家俊

說回來貼果四隻跑一三四莫雷拉由心出發選擇走裡面結果泡湯

R4 由心出發甜統滿載而來勝利之星

正選 11 由心出發
次選 5 甜統 6 滿載而來
冷選 10 勝利之星

2017-02-25

龍城猛將坐位望贏

龍城猛將試閘走勢悅目明顯比上季進步同場對手似是而非史卓豐停賽前夕鬥志不用懷疑坐位望贏

Photo Credit: HKJC

2017-02-23

2017-02-26 練馬師馬匹出賽意慾表

經師兄指點後我轉左睇報名表從皇牌, 優先出賽權, 練馬師之馬匹優先參賽次序 o既資訊可以推斷倒練馬師對某些馬o既出賽意慾

當然有高o既出賽意慾可以代表有決心o係果場博但亦都可以係有決心出場減分或有決心替友好馬房擔飛

根據上述分析大家可以留意下由心出發駿皇綵傲行者

2017-02-22

勝利名星坐亞望冠 Solid Q Banker Victory Marvel

勝利名星上次贏馬具說服力加分唔多再執個靚檔韋達醒醒目目o既話坐亞望冠連贏鋼膽

Photo Credit: HKJC

荷蘭風車坐位望贏 Dutch Windmill for Win & Place

今日守好位明顥佔優預期荷蘭風車可以賺盅今日形勢有大樹遮蔭鄭俊偉 d 胃口又到了梁家俊應該唔會差得過杜利萊呱坐位望贏!

Photo Credit: HKJC

熱而不穏馬翩翩 Betting Trap D B Pin

表面賽績 1200m 唔到所以上場大熱跑第二但係個人擔心加分已多排 6 檔結合其他馬匹跑法有可能要全程二至三疊過熱實在不智

半冷QPQ膽飛快叻 Good Odds Banker Rocket Let Win

呢場同我貼澤心星果場好似熱門不太突出寧願博冷揀來揀去又係何澤堯飛快叻上季首仗贏馬為 52 分現評 50 分今季初表現不太理想後索性休息下培養角逐興趣今次跑番首本路程再加番個眼罩又是另一半冷QPQ膽之選

Photo Credit: HKJC

半冷QPQ膽澤心星 Good Odds QPQ Banker Grace Heart

典型水鬥水場合熱門絕不突出寧願選擇博冷澤心星今季減分已多上場開始走近 o係折組情況下都用左皇牌戰意鮮明現時賠率尚算合理可視為最佳半冷QPQ膽

Photo Credit: HKJC

2017-02-20

2017-02-22 練馬師出馬意慾表 Trainer Intent on Letting the Horse Run

近排鐘意左睇練馬師分場表從皇牌, 優先出賽權, 練馬師之馬匹優先參賽次序 o既資訊可以推斷倒練馬師對某些馬o既出馬意慾

當然有高o既出馬意慾可以代表有決心o係果場博但亦都可以係有決心出場減分或有決心替友好馬房擔飛

田草日子會睇得多 d 野因為報名馬與場次較多, 拆組情況亦較少, 今次黎個簡單o既谷草熱身先

霍利時可選擇用皇牌o係行運友育馬妙星同爪皇烈焰度佢卻用o係頭場行運友度, 隻馬得唔得另作別論, 但係我一定會花多 d 時間去度呢隻馬

大家覺得呢個宏觀分析有用嗎?

2017-02-19

當家精選可繼續扶搖直上 NothingILikeMore could become a Group Winner

賽前已講上場贏馬姿態實在太出色建議一注獨贏當家精選出閘後莫雷拉竟選擇搶前令我大吃一驚不過隻馬真係好超跑法可跟可留相信可繼續扶搖直上

Already mentioned before the race that the last winner of NothingILikeMore is extremely impressive and recommended a bet on Win. Joao Moreira did give me a scaring moment when he chose to put the horse in the front. Luckily, NothingILikeMore is at least a class above the same group and worth to note that this horse could lead or come from behind. To say this horse could become a Group Winner is not an overstatement.

Photo Credit: HKJC

一注獨贏當家精選 NothingILikeMore for Win

當家精選上場贏馬姿態實在太出色不須講太多了一於一注獨贏

Photo Credit: HKJC

冷選龍船 Good Odd Bet Big Bang Bong

龍船表現漸趨穏定上場雖敗但係佢果斷衝勁相當洶湧今日可以外疊追賠率吸引冷勿盡忘

Photo Credit: HKJC

安荃坐位望贏 Ensuring for Win & Place

安荃上仗久休復出招氣重現蔡約翰安排匆匆再出應不會是無的放矢底質高o既馬坐位望贏

Photo Credit: HKJC

金多多坐位望贏 Goal for Gold Win & Place

金多多轉廄後係田草熱身兩場兼減分今場落班番回季初跑得好o既泥地 1200m 強配馬房博殺騎師潘頓坐位望贏

Photo Credit: HKJC

英才 QPQ 膽 Banker on Super Talent

英才對上兩場跑谷草 1650m 同田草 1600m 表現未如理想現在落班返回田草 1400m 而強配鬥志鮮明o既羅理雅絕對係理想 QPQ 膽

Photo Credit: HKJC

2017-02-18

飛霞贏位兼投 Giddy Giddy for Win & Place

今季泥地 1200m 果場跑第二表現好好其後三場遊走不同場地路程表現有好有壞今次終於返番泥地 1200m 晨操狀態並無不妥贏位兼投之選

Photo Credit: HKJC

2017-02-17

馬會向麥菲文發給練馬師牌照 Licensing Committee grants Michael Freedman trainer’s licence

馬會牌照委員會向麥菲文發給2017/2018年度馬季練馬師牌照
同一時期o係新加坡騎過練過唔知麥菲文同莫雷拉熟唔熟?

Licensing Committee grants Michael Freedman trainer’s licence for 2017/2018 season
Are Joao Moreira a good friend with Michael Freedman when they were riding/training in Singapore?

Photo Credit: HKJC

2017-02-14

馬克羅斯戰意鮮明 Time Warp with Clear Mission

馬克羅斯底質應該不錯奈何頭兩場都是遊馬河告東尼特意將此馬退出經典盃捨難取易跑谷草 1200m 部署鮮明希望爭分跑打吡蔡明紹當然係海鮮波但換來合理賠率可贏位兼投

Photo Credit: HKJC

全日重心永旺年年 Focus of the Day - Lucky Year

永旺年年今季初出贏出漂亮一仗其後表現有所回落上場田草 1400m 走勢開始有改善今場回師擅長o既谷草有評分逐漸飽和o既海翡翠大樹好遮蔭坐亞望冠之選

Photo Credit: HKJC

2017-02-11

韋達殺得性起 Douglas Whyte's Day

今日十三少韋達殺得性起先以駿皇綵啄左我o既孖寶正獎再顆拍一定賺 o係尾場以慢步速控制賽事未段力拒雷神來犯過終點時揮一揮鞭頭也不回
Today Douglas Whyte first partnered with Magic Legend which caused me the 4th Double. Subsequently in Race 10 he had a good ride with Daring Fit, leading with slow pacing and fight against Joao Moreira upon the finishing line.